Herby Tennisecke 2007 ff

was ihr alle mit dem Hanescu und gegen Coria habt, ist mir unbegreiflich !

Schauen wir uns mal Hanescus letzte 3 Ergebnisse auf Hardcourt an:

2/2006 ATP Sydney (AUS) Hard Ivo Karlovic Victor Hanescu 7-6(7) 3-6 6-3 First Round

1/2006 ATP Doha (QAT) Hard Feliciano Lopez Victor Hanescu 6-4 7-6(2) First Round

35/2005 ATP US Open (USA) Hard Albert Montanes Victor Hanescu 6-4 3-6 6-3 2-1 ret. First Round

Heuer Erstrundenniederlagen gegen Karlovic [[rofl]] und Lopez, davor hat Montanes [[rofl]] [[winkewinke]] sein einziges Hardcourtspiel des Jahres 2005 gegen ihn gewonnen (Runde 1 US Open).

Coria hingegen Finale zuletzt in Peking sowie knappes 4telfinal aus bei den US Open, dazu 4te Runde in 2004 Aus Open. Dafür find ich Quoten über 1.2 bei weitem ned schlecht ! [[herby]]
 
Coria denk ich auch, dass man ihn nehmen kann, aber wenn ich beim Herby vermisse, ist der Monfils. [[nixweiss]]

Hab ihn bei mir in der dicksten Kombi mitdrin.

Monfils schon im letzten Herbst mit sehr guter Form und die hat er jetzt in Quatar wieder bestätigt mit dem Finaleinzug, wo er Federer 3:6 6:7 unterlag.
L. Horna bekommt schon länger nix mehr hin.
 
Re: picks day 2

Re: picks day 2

herby schrieb:
PHAU 1.4 - Berloq +
CORIA 1.25 - Hanescu +
FEDERER ) 1.75 WP 400 EH....SIEG


HAAS - Gasquet +
GONZALES - Bogomolov +
FEDERER ) 1.67 ADM 300 EH...NL


LISNARD 2.6 - Monaco PIN 250 EH...NL

ASCIONE 4.0 - Mirnyi HILL,ADM 150 EH...NL

Summe: - 400 Einheiten


Tja, fast wieder alles von day 1 im [[wc]] , Coria kam zwar aber dafür Kotzales wie schon im anderen thread besprochen [[kotz]]
 
day 3

day 3

SANTORO - Pavel + NIEMINEN - Wang +
RODDICK - Moodie ) 1.94 HILL 400 EH


Treble here with 2 bankers in the ARod and Nieminen who are at least 2 classes above their opponents. Hernandez lost tight against Moodie that says it all because he has not won a single set on hard b4. Rodthingy seems in good shape and semi and quarter at Aus Open in latest years on his plus side. Nieminen won last weeks hard court tournament and is up for a not even mediocre Wang to win clear.

Leaves us with Santoro against Pavel, the decisive match of the treble. Well Pavel despite his tight 5 setter over Moya is nothing special on hard winning only handful of matches while Santoro seems to be in very good form which not only his latest results showed but also his tight tiebreak loss against Federer.


LOPEZ - Muller + ANCIC - Hernych +
BLAKE - Faurel ) ADM 2.08 300 EH


No idea why Lopez is 1.6 here but fact is he has much more ability than Muller and under normal circumstances should win this match. Ancic won last weeks tournament and is 1 class above Hernych on hard while Blake should have no problems dismissing a young french qualifier who has only a couple of hard court matches in his career.


MALISSE 2.31 - Johansson PIN 250 EH

This is a classic 50:50 clash with Malisse having the better results lately reaching the final of last weeks hard court tournament. Odds therefore should be wide open 1.9 the pair so 2.26 at Pinnacle (exchanges about 2.28) are clear too high

BAGHDATIS 2.41 - Stepanek PIN 225 EH

Almost the same here. Its time for the young Baghdatis to get far in a big tournament, last year he already moved through some rounds and Stepanek is not that big gun on hard to be such favorit here.
 
Re: picks day 2

Re: picks day 2

herby schrieb:
herby schrieb:
PHAU 1.4 - Berloq +
CORIA 1.25 - Hanescu +
FEDERER ) 1.75 WP 400 EH....SIEG


HAAS - Gasquet +
GONZALES - Bogomolov +
FEDERER ) 1.67 ADM 300 EH...NL


LISNARD 2.6 - Monaco PIN 250 EH...NL

ASCIONE 4.0 - Mirnyi HILL,ADM 150 EH...NL

Summe: - 400 Einheiten


Tja, fast wieder alles von day 1 im [[wc]] , Coria kam zwar aber dafür Kotzales wie schon im anderen thread besprochen [[kotz]]

Gonzalez, Moya und Stepanek sind solche Typen, die einem sehr gerne in den ersten Runden was versauen, aber so wie dir mim Gonzalez, gings mir vorgestern mim Moya. Die 3 sind für ab sofort tabu in den Erstrunden.

Vergangene Nacht auch ärgerlich. Alles richtig, außer die dickste Kombi wegen Monfils. Das hätte gescheppert. [[heul]]
 
Re: day 3

Re: day 3

bitte, bitte gern geschehen.
Endlich mal ein fast perfekter Tag wenn der doofe Malisse sein 5:3 aus Satz 3 nicht vergeben hätte, trotzdem 3 aus 4 und Superergebnis, hoffentlich gehts so weiter ! [[sabber]]


herby schrieb:
SANTORO - Pavel + NIEMINEN - Wang +
RODDICK - Moodie ) 1.94 HILL 400 EH...SIEG [[winkewinke]]



LOPEZ - Muller + ANCIC - Hernych +
BLAKE - Faurel ) ADM 2.08 300 EH...SIEG [[winkewinke]]



MALISSE 2.31 - Johansson PIN 250 EH..NL


BAGHDATIS 2.41 - Stepanek PIN 225 EH...SIEG [[winkewinke]]

Summe: + 767 Einheiten :mrgreen:
 
picks day 5:

picks day 5:

ANCIC 1.53 - Ferrer PIN 400 EH

Expected much lower odds here as Ferrer is a clay courter and should really not belong to round 3 of a Grand Slam on hard. Ancic in splendid form, final last week, the clear better player on this surface and odds are ok for a medium bet here.

NIEMINEN - Nalbandian 2.9 250 EH

The finn is in splendid form right now and unbeaten since 2 weeks winning the last tournament on hardcourt and rushed easily into round 3 here without dropping a set. On the other hand Nalbandian had some troubles in early rounds and already needed 4 and 5 sets against mediocre opponents. He sure is the better player no question but having the actual form in mind and watching the H2H on hard leading Nieminen this odds are worth a shot !
 
doubles saturday:

CROATIA + USA SIEG 1.72 Nordicbet 400 EH

Ancic and Lubeman were in good form yesterday especially the 2nd. He trashed Koubek 3:0. Both are splendid double players as well and against Austrian Knowle/Peya should take the 3:0 lead here imo.
Bryan/Bryan No. 1 double of the world should be bankers against Romanian double especially as it is only 1:1 after day 1 and the double is quite decisive here.
 
FRENCH OPEN DAY 1

FRENCH OPEN DAY 1

So nach langer Tennispause mal wieder Tipps für Grand Slam. [[winkewinke]]

KIEFER - Melzer + FERRERO - del Potro CB 1.91 (NB 1.95) 400 EH

6:0 does Kiefer lead Melzer in H2H and beat him weeks ago on same surface. Ferrero 1 class better than Qualifier Potro.

NOVAK 1.55 - Tursunov PIN 800 EH

No doubles possible at Pinnacle so have to take this far best odds around as single (next best only 1.5). Novak cama back after his break getting to the semis last week on clay as well while Tursunov beat noone on this surface so far.

GIMELSTOB 2.94 - Falla PIN 300 EH

Like this high odds best among all tomorrow. Gimelstob is a hard courter but with some ok results on clay lately while Falla who should be a natural clay courter in bad form and ability so 50:50 for me and odds around 3 are insane.

RUSEDSKI 2.51 - Capdeville PIN 200 EH

Rusedski no clay courter as well but who is Capdeville ? The american with some ok results on clay should have 45% here.

MARACH 2.37 - Kohlschreiber PIN 200 EH

The patriot bet tomorrow. If Melzer has to lose against Kiefer the other Austrian should level the match between Austria and Germany. He has 45% chance as well and quite good results this year on clay. Kohli is nothing special on this surface imo.
 
1.Tag war äusserst mies, sorry to all followers, muss mi erst wieder aklimatisieren. [[grin]]

Nun aber zu den -hoffentlich besseren - Tipps des 2. Spieltages:

MONACO - Gemerden +
FERRER - Garcia Lopez ) 1.71 LAD 700 EH


The frenchman Monaco who is a decent clay player with nice results on this surface so far this year plays on home soil against a non clay courter and below average player whom he should easily dispose on tuesday. Ferrer is a top clay courter in nice form while Garcia has won nothing since many months on this surface so big favorit. Double has ok odds at Ladbrokes for a medium bet.

PORTAS - Baghdatis 2.62 LAD 300 EH

Portas is the clay courter from the 2 and has the far better results on clay as well. Baghdatis lives only from his hard court final at Aus open but that has nothing to do with French Open on clay and why Portas is odds against is beyond me.

MONFILS 1.75 - Murray PIN,ADM 400 EH

Monfils has lost 1&4 to this opponent last week on same surface. So why should he win tomorrow? First of all Monfils plays at home in France now. 2nd and most important he lost because of an outstanding performance in the week before where he reached the semis of the clay tournament. So this match counts almost nothing as Monfils was not really up to it. Just the opposite from tomorrow and no doubt the results show he is the better clay courter of the 2 !

SCHÜTTLER 3.4 - Haas BET365 200 EH

Not only Schüttler won both H2H on clay against Haas, also the clay performance of Haas is disgusting with many 1st round losses lately. Schüttler out of form as well but odds far over 3 are wrong so worth a bet.
 
Old Portas mit 300 EH??

Viel Glück herby, aber ich vermute stark, dass der kürzliche Lauf von ihm nicht mehr war, als das was wir von Old-Novak neulich gesehen haben - Ergebnis v. heute bekannt...

Ich hätte für morgen einen anderen Sand-Kandidaten in dem Quotenbereich (O.K., schon etwas unter 2,62) im Auge - wenn denn sein Gegner überhaupt im Stande ist anzutreten...weisst wohl, wen ich meine [[grin]]
 
herby schrieb:
ja der Alberto..aber halt auch ned grad sehr in Form, der Junge ! :mrgreen:

Stimmt, nicht gerade so richtig in Form :mrgreen:
Bin auch über seine Quotierung irgendwie enttäuscht, v.a. auch wenn man Alberto's mieses H2H gegen Arod sieht....für'n pound it reicht's in gar keinem Fall...abgesehen von Roddicks wehwehchen -- sein kürzlicher Lauf auf Sand hat doch sehr verwundert...2,5/10 auf Martin versuch ich aber in jedem Fall...
 
AUSWERTUNG RUNDE 1

AUSWERTUNG RUNDE 1

So nach einem katastrophalen Einstiegstag ein knappes plus am 2.Tag, zwar immer noch minus gesamt aber das wird schon [[sabber]]

KIEFER - Melzer + FERRERO - del Potro CB 1.91 (NB 1.95) 400 EH..SIEG

NOVAK 1.55 - Tursunov PIN 800 EH..NL [[bang]]

GIMELSTOB 2.94 - Falla PIN 300 EH...NL

RUSEDSKI 2.51 - Capdeville PIN 200 EH...NL

MARACH 2.37 - Kohlschreiber PIN 200 EH...NL

MONACO - Gemerden + FERRER - Garcia Lopez ) 1.71 LAD 700 EH..SIEG

PORTAS - Baghdatis 2.62 LAD 300 EH...NL

MONFILS 1.75 - Murray PIN,ADM 400 EH...SIEG

SCHÜTTLER 3.4 - Haas BET365 200 EH...NL

GONZALES 1.78 - Safin PIN 350 EH...SIEG


Summe: -650 Einheiten
 
MOYA - Youzhny +
FERRERO - Kohlschreiber +
NALBANDIAN - Gasquet ) 2.16 NB 600 EH


Those 3 lower priced favs are all about 1 class better then their opponents on clay. All 3 are in good form this week so far and its a time play as well because Moya starts early in 30 minutes so if he loses what I very much doubt I will recommend the other 2 as double (starting 3 hours later) again but not necessary I hope :mrgreen:
 
herby schrieb:
herby schrieb:
MOYA - Youzhny +
FERRERO - Kohlschreiber +
NALBANDIAN - Gasquet ) 2.16 NB 600 EH...SIEG [[winkewinke]]

[Summe: + 696 Einheiten

damit Paris ins plus gedreht nach über 1000 Miese am Tag 1 ! :mrgreen:

French Open gesamt: + 46 Einheiten

wenn meine 2 Kombis von heute, morgen fertig werden, werd ich mal vergleichen. Mal sehen, wie es am Ende aussehen wird. Bitte machs net wie letztes Jahr bei Wimbledon, als du mich ab dem Halbfinale überholt hattest und ich meinen schon sicher geglaubten Sieg über den Tennisgott noch verlor. [[bang]] [[tutu]] :mrgreen: