Herby Tennisecke 2007 ff

Kobayashi schrieb:
Bin einer Meinung mit herby - kommt ja in dem Quotenbereich nicht so oft vor :mrgreen:

BAW SRICHA @3,89 vorhin eingesackt. Bei mir nur 2/10, liegt halt daran, dass seine bisherige 2005-Bilanz -wie angesprochen- mies ist, Quote dadurch erklärbar....alles über 3,50 dennoch Value-Trend

TB-JA @2,23 noch nebenbei mit 2/10

Good luck!

Dann reihe ich mich mal in die allgemeine Freude ein [[winkewinke]]
 
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double tuesday

HAAS - Karlovic +
ROBREDO - Kuerten ) 1.86 LAD 300 EH

Haas is in average form on hard court. But Karlovic has lost 6 of his last 7 first round matches on hard and is the worse player of the two. So odds around 1.5 are not bad.

Robredo has destroyed Kuerten who is in no form after his injury with 6:2,6:1 weeks ago on clay. This time on clay in Umag the outcome should be a win again as Kuerten went on with big losses since then
 
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bissl knapp aber mit Analysen darf ma ja jetzt neuerdings bis zu 5 minuten vorher ... [[grin]]

VERDASCO - Melzer +
GAUDIO - Vik 1.68 NB 500 EH


Verdasco found his form lately with strong wins over Seppi and Rochus. He is the better clay courter of the 2. Melzer had many problems beating miserable Vemic in 3 sets and doesnt like to play in the height of Kitzbühl at all.

Gaudio banker.
 
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herby schrieb:
so nach der erfolgreichen Woche sei mir ein Urlaub gegönnt :mrgreen:

vertschüsse mich für 2-3 Wochen in die Berge bzw. 10 Tage davon nach Norwegen wo die Dreckshitze von Wien nur mehr Geschichte sein wird. [[sabber]]

Bis bald, Leute ! [[winkewinke]]

Jedem das, was er verdient !!!

[[yo]]

Grüß mir mein Norwegen !!!

Bist echt zu beneiden...
 
back at work

back at work

HEWITT 1.85 - Roddick ADMIRAL 300 EH

The H2H speaks a clear 6:1 and 5:0 on hard. Hewitt also won the last 3 encounters 2004 and 2005 on Roddicks home ground. As he usually was odds against by now bookies react and see him as favorit. Still with that H2H those odds have still to be taken.Both in equal form this week.
 
US OPEN day 1

US OPEN day 1

4th and last Grand Slam tournament starting today and beside the fact that there are "only" 24 first round matches instead of half of the 64 as usual (US Open speciality) the fact is that due to low priced favorits and not much value overall today I only recommend the following treble:

BJÖRKMAN - Behrend +
NOVAK - Norman +
GALIMBERTI - Young ) UNIBET 2.15 6/10


Björkman despite his 4th round last week had to play qualis and came without problems through it. Overall he has ok results on hard this year. Behrend is 0:6 in last 2 years ATP...

Novak with ups and downs usually but at Slams he is normally up to it. Had good results on hard in 2005. Opponent Norman is crap on that surface.

Galimberti went through the qualis as well and despite not much wins on hard this year he had good results in last days here. Young has beaten nobody on hard and i cant see him winning today. Still this is the match were the treble depends on because Björkman and Novak are safe imo.
 
Re: US OPEN day 1

Re: US OPEN day 1

herby schrieb:
4th and last Grand Slam tournament starting today and beside the fact that there are "only" 24 first round matches instead of half of the 64 as usual (US Open speciality) the fact is that due to low priced favorits and not much value overall today I only recommend the following treble:

BJÖRKMAN - Behrend +
NOVAK - Norman +
GALIMBERTI - Young ) UNIBET 2.15 6/10


Björkman despite his 4th round last week had to play qualis and came without problems through it. Overall he has ok results on hard this year. Behrend is 0:6 in last 2 years ATP...

Novak with ups and downs usually but at Slams he is normally up to it. Had good results on hard in 2005. Opponent Norman is crap on that surface.

Galimberti went through the qualis as well and despite not much wins on hard this year he had good results in last days here. Young has beaten nobody on hard and i cant see him winning today. Still this is the match were the treble depends on because Björkman and Novak are safe imo.

Naja Björkman und Novak seh ich auch so, denke nich das es dort zu ner Überaschung kommen kann. Aber der tipp für Galimberti um die Quote von derzeit 1,40-1,45 bei den meisten Bokies ist schlichthin ein witz!
Galimberti is auch nicht besonders viel stärker als Young einzuschätzen, also ich denke mal da gibt es wesendlich bessere Matches heute. Sehe die Chancen hier 50:50 max 55:45 für Calimberti also für Quoten um die 1,45 absolut nicht spielbar [[aetsch]]
 
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herby schrieb:
die quote ist erstens 1.48 und zweitens wirst schon sehen... [[aetsch]]

Ok ich lese hier ja schon einge wochen mit und weiss das du wirklich ne ganz schöne ahnung vom tennis hast aber auch für 1,48 würde ich das nicht wetten, die quote is einfach zu schwach, weiss ja nicht wie du das siehst aber eigentlich is das fast schon en typisches 50:50 Spiel aber deiner Meinung nach muss ja Galimberti klarer Favoirt von den Chancenverteilung her sein sonst würdest du ja nich auf so ne schwache Quote für ihn gehn. Nunja für mich ist das Match nun mal halt eher ausgeglichen ich gebe Gamlimberti hier vielleicht 55% was bei einer Quote von 1,48 absolut immer noch nicht spielenswert is.
Naja wenn Galamberti das Match klar für sich entscheidet zieh ich meinen Hut aber abwarten! [[yo]]
 
Tipps Dienstag

Tipps Dienstag

nur die Ruhe, Lauterer, is no a Stund Zeit bis zum Beginn von Lopez und der Rest is no viel später [[zwinker]]


KOUBEK - Serra +LOPEZ - Volandri +
GROSJEAN - Hernandez +GINEPRI - Garcia Lopez ) 1.98 HILL, NB 350 EH


Koubek after long illness this year finally found form on hard courts winning couple of matches in last weeks. He is fit and ready. Last year he went to round 3 here beating Ferrero. Serra is a french player with no results on hard and odds around 1.5 are ok.

Lopez was in the final last week and is above average on hard overall. He has also ok results at the Open last year. Volandri is crap on hard winning nothing.

Even more crap is Hernandez on that surface, his most were 3 games in a set during his all straight set losses on hard in last 2 years. Grosjean gets older but is in ok form. Banker.

Ginepri in very good hard court form this summer, winning a tournament and gave Federer all to handle in last semi final a week ago. Garcia is a clay courter and should stand no chance here.

CLEMENT 4.7 - Ferrero PIN 3/10...150 EH

Ferrero is not in the form he was reaching the semis here 2003. He is far from average at the moment, very bad hard court record in 2005, he also was beaten by Koubek here last year as written b4 and Clement, who had to go through the qualis should really have a chance today. He reached some 3rd rounds on hard court this summer and those odds are surely value.

Other treble filler is Hanescu (banker against Montanes) but i didnt want to play a five fold , also Verdasco over 2.0 against Henman if you get it somewhere could be a good one.
 
Re: Tipps Dienstag

Re: Tipps Dienstag

herby schrieb:
nur die Ruhe, Lauterer, is no a Stund Zeit bis zum Beginn von Lopez und der Rest is no viel später [[zwinker]]


KOUBEK - Serra +LOPEZ - Volandri +
GROSJEAN - Hernandez +GINEPRI - Garcia Lopez ) 1.98 HILL, NB 350 EH


Koubek after long illness this year finally found form on hard courts winning couple of matches in last weeks. He is fit and ready. Last year he went to round 3 here beating Ferrero. Serra is a french player with no results on hard and odds around 1.5 are ok.

Lopez was in the final last week and is above average on hard overall. He has also ok results at the Open last year. Volandri is crap on hard winning nothing.

Even more crap is Hernandez on that surface, his most were 3 games in a set during his all straight set losses on hard in last 2 years. Grosjean gets older but is in ok form. Banker.

Ginepri in very good hard court form this summer, winning a tournament and gave Federer all to handle in last semi final a week ago. Garcia is a clay courter and should stand no chance here.

CLEMENT 4.7 - Ferrero PIN 3/10...150 EH

Ferrero is not in the form he was reaching the semis here 2003. He is far from average at the moment, very bad hard court record in 2005, he also was beaten by Koubek here last year as written b4 and Clement, who had to go through the qualis should really have a chance today. He reached some 3rd rounds on hard court this summer and those odds are surely value.

Other treble filler is Hanescu (banker against Montanes) but i didnt want to play a five fold , also Verdasco over 2.0 against Henman if you get it somewhere could be a good one.

Naja trotzdem e bisserl spät, jetzt hab ich lopez und Grosjean schon verpasst, wäre nach dem erfolg gestern gen nochmal mitgeganen, naja vielleicht wars auch besser so den lopez liegt ja beim stand von 1:1 im moment im dritten satz zurück, wird eng für ihn...
hast vielleicht noch 2 pimperlquoten für heut abend die man noch mit Koubek und ginepri kombinieren könnte?
 
Re: Tipps Dienstag

Re: Tipps Dienstag

herby schrieb:
nur die Ruhe, Lauterer, is no a Stund Zeit bis zum Beginn von Lopez und der Rest is no viel später [[zwinker]]


KOUBEK - Serra +LOPEZ - Volandri +
GROSJEAN - Hernandez +GINEPRI - Garcia Lopez ) 1.98 HILL, NB 350 EH


Koubek after long illness this year finally found form on hard courts winning couple of matches in last weeks. He is fit and ready. Last year he went to round 3 here beating Ferrero. Serra is a french player with no results on hard and odds around 1.5 are ok.

Lopez was in the final last week and is above average on hard overall. He has also ok results at the Open last year. Volandri is crap on hard winning nothing.

Even more crap is Hernandez on that surface, his most were 3 games in a set during his all straight set losses on hard in last 2 years. Grosjean gets older but is in ok form. Banker.

Ginepri in very good hard court form this summer, winning a tournament and gave Federer all to handle in last semi final a week ago. Garcia is a clay courter and should stand no chance here.

CLEMENT 4.7 - Ferrero PIN 3/10...150 EH

Ferrero is not in the form he was reaching the semis here 2003. He is far from average at the moment, very bad hard court record in 2005, he also was beaten by Koubek here last year as written b4 and Clement, who had to go through the qualis should really have a chance today. He reached some 3rd rounds on hard court this summer and those odds are surely value.

Other treble filler is Hanescu (banker against Montanes) but i didnt want to play a five fold , also Verdasco over 2.0 against Henman if you get it somewhere could be a good one.

@Herberl,
auf Koubek zu wetten - ist wie Lottospielen....der Typ ist so unberechenbar und unkonstant...ganz einfach eine Geldvernichtungsmaschine....für Tipper....

Gratulation für CLEMENT.....hätte ich nicht gedacht
3:0...Respekt!... [[yo]]

Auf ein Neues,
LG,
Schneck
 
Auswertung Dienstag

Auswertung Dienstag

KOUBEK - Serra +...... 1.98 HILL, NB 350 EH...NL

CLEMENT 4.7 - Ferrero PIN 3/10...150 EH....SIEG

Summe: + 205 Einheiten :mrgreen:

heute keine Tipps. Hrbaty und Hewitt kann man wo einbauen, 1.32 maximal ist aber für eine Wette zu klein.

Eine Frechheit überhaupt die Einteilung bei den US-Open: anstatt 24 / 24 /24 Spiele an den ersten 3 Tagen wie üblich, geben sie 23/ 33 / 9 [[stupid]] ..also neun Spiele an einem Erstrundentag eines Grand Slams .. ein Witz ! [[kotz]]
 
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tja bei 9-12 Matches pro Tag und des in einer Grand SLam Woche 1 - was glaubst !

treble friday

KIEFER - Stepanek +
DENT - Almagro +
HEWITT - Acauso ) 1.85 UNI 300 EH


Kiefer is very good on hard and especially at US Open when he is fit and he says to be. Stepaneks worst surface is hard and he had some 1st round losses lately. Dont expect him to rise his form today.

Dent is the clear better hard court placer than Almagro who won nothing on hard, he only beat even worse hard court player Carlsen in round 1 and nobody b4. Dent with a final and semifinal lately should have no problems.

Hewitt is banker.
 
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Daniel schrieb:
herby schrieb:
Anm: zwar ned viel zu wetten diese Woche, untypisch für ein Grand Slam, aber mit Ausnahme von Koubek sehr erfolgreich. :mrgreen:

Wieso ? Ich fand, es war einiges dabei. [[grin]] Gerade weil eigentlich die Spieler sich meist durchsetzten, die eine positive Bilanz auf dem Belag hatten.

jep, im großen und ganzen eine erfolgreiche woche - aber was ist mit dem zahlreichen und überraschenden ausscheiden der favos?
hat die keiner von Euch gespielt? [[nixweiss]]
kann i ma ned vorstellen...
 
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junior schrieb:
aber was ist mit dem zahlreichen und überraschenden ausscheiden der favos?
hat die keiner von Euch gespielt? [[nixweiss]]
kann i ma ned vorstellen...

Ma muss halt wissen, wen man wegläßt. :mrgreen:

Hab eigentlich hauptsächlich Favos gespielt, aber net die, wo ma auf irgend nen Hanswurst 1,10 bekam. Bislang etwas über 33% Gewinn gemacht und das hauptsächlich mit (den richtigen) Favoriten. [[grin]]
 
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so genug gequasselt.

BLAKE 4.15 - Nadal EXP 125 EH

well Nadal we know is beside Federer the rising star in Tennis but still mainly on clay. ok, he won a hard tournament 2 weeks ago as well but so did Blake who also was in another final only losing to Federer this summer. So he sure has far more chances than those odds may suggest. Form this week of Blake was also better than Nadals who had more problems beating worse opponents than Blake did. And we are not talking of a 50:50 here, but not very much less chances for Blake imo. So crazy high odds have to be taken.
 
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herby schrieb:
so genug gequasselt.

BLAKE 4.15 - Nadal EXP 3/10

well Nadal we know is beside Federer the rising star in Tennis but still mainly on clay. ok, he won a hard tournament 2 weeks ago as well but so did Blake who also was in another final only losing to Federer this summer. So he sure has far more chances than those odds may suggest. Form this week of Blake was also better than Nadals who had more problems beating worse opponents than Blake did. And we are not talking of a 50:50 here, but not very much less chances for Blake imo. So crazy high odds have to be taken.


Einheiten????
 
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Luke schrieb:
herby schrieb:
so genug gequasselt.

BLAKE 4.15 - Nadal EXP 3/10

well Nadal we know is beside Federer the rising star in Tennis but still mainly on clay. ok, he won a hard tournament 2 weeks ago as well but so did Blake who also was in another final only losing to Federer this summer. So he sure has far more chances than those odds may suggest. Form this week of Blake was also better than Nadals who had more problems beating worse opponents than Blake did. And we are not talking of a 50:50 here, but not very much less chances for Blake imo. So crazy high odds have to be taken.


Einheiten????

Ich glaub der Geburstag is ihm net bekommen. :mrgreen: