Slowenien, Samstag 16.00
Gorica - Nafta
...VS...
Not much achieved by the "new"
Gorica coach so far. Gorica has a 2-2-2
record and is only 2 points above the playout space (where
Nafta actually is).
Although unlucky, they still lost in Ptuj the last round (0-1 in 93') and the
fans, used to titles, are getting nervous about it. They lost young talent
Matavz
midweek and they finally want to see something positive too. Nafta is a good
chance for that imo, but they will only win if they play concentrated
without underestimating the opponent. I'm sure this won't (can't) be the
case.
Nafta on the other hand made 2 draws after
Pef took over (interim) and
those were quite convincing games, both the second half in Ptuj and especially
vs Maribor. Pef will (still) be the coach for this game, but then Vucicevic
is taking over on Monday.
All in all Gorica is a favourite and I think they'll take it, but I also expect a
tough game too.
Gorica HW @1.55 7/10
Domzale - Interblock
...VS...
Should be a nice matchup between the two neighbouring teams.
Domzale
the high favourites and the newly compiled team of
Interblock "stars", who
finally managed to show some nice action and scored in the final half hour
of the game vs "lose-to-everyone" Livar (5-1).
Former Domzale players in Interblock and other fact will be a huge motivation
momentum for the guests and I see a straight forward game tomorrow,
where
Rakovic will imo try his best to score vs his old team, but I doubt it
would be enough.
To cut it short results around 3-1 are expected by me for this game.
Domzale-1 (asian) @1.75 is a "safe" bet imo, or take the
HW @1.50-ish in
a combo.
Edit:
OVER @1.85 7/10
Maribor - Primorje
...VS...
As mentioned in the introductory, there's no value in
Maribor odds @1.5-1.6.
Primorje under
Prasnikar (the legendary Champions League Maribor coach)
is showing much improvement in their games and therefore they won 3
of their last 5 games straight. The losses were against Gorica (0-1) and
Domzale (0-2) and even those games were played well to a point...
Maribor only won the 2nd league material Livar in their last 4 and even that
was more than lucky in the dying minutes.
They switched coaches and
Gjurovski managed to take a point at his former
team Nafta (again lucky as Nafta was the better team).
Today there's much in the air between the coaches as well, as Gjurovski
will want to show the old MB coach, he's the better choice. But then Prasnikar
will know what to do imo and be very close to an upset. Gjurovski still needs
time to cope with the team and situation while Prasnikar knows his team into
the very details...
Odds around 2.20 and higher for the X2 version are quite ridiculous imo and
a nice value imo.
Primorje X2 @2.24 Bwin 5/10 or the imo "safe"
+1 @1.83 Pinna 8/10
Koper - Drava
...VS...
If there's
Yin-Yang, black and white (even greay), there's no way for Koper
to win today.
How
Koper took points vs
Maribor and in
Celje is more than lucky, but this
isn't Las Vegas they're doing and it has to come to an end imo. Well not
exactly that Drava has been unlucky (1-0 in 93' last round), but then I see
Drava taking at least a point today as things seem to be changing with the
arrival of new coach Gliha. He managed 4 points in his first 2 games and
the confidence is back too imo.
Koper basing their success on fight and (over)motivation, but there are still too
many management/player issues going on in the club (still sacking players,
or players simply leaving...) which eventually (read today) will lead to a
very bad mood...
Drava with
Gliha on the bench and the similar system to Koper (fight and
motivation) just that I would add better mood and consistency in team...
Drava+0.5 @1.90 Bet365 7/10