So zuerst uss ich sagen das NBA wetten heute Abend ziemlich schwer sein wirde , besonders so fruh wie ich diesen Post schreibe weil ich noch keine der neusten updates jetzt bekommen kann , die sehr wichtig in solchen 50-50 matches sein konnen. Seit nicht geuteuscht von den quoten , Dallas uber @3,00 odds sind ein lachen ! Aber rede mal zuerst uber meinen haupt pick heute , und dan mal uber die 2 games ...
Who will score more points : A.Bynum vs. T.Chandler
Pick: A.Bynum @1,65
Unibet , 6/10
Odds definitly to high for me , cause first of all Chandler is a defensive specialst , he can score +10 nights no doubt about that , but tonight his main goal will be to stop Bynum , everything alse will ba a bonus for him , or at least it should be like that. Mostly he is kept under 10 points , and has +10 nights mostly against opponents who are injure defletead or have weak defenses. This clash is going to ba a very close one , and for Chandler to score some points , he will have to battler against the best C & PF duet in the league – Bynum and Gasol . Cause Dallas is a team which knows how to defend , top 5 NBA defense , the Bryant factor is being decresed , individualy Bryant is still the best player in NBA , but Dallas is to mature to allow a one-man show even to Bryant and often showed that they are very able to play defense on him , also Bryant is still very tired and feels some soreness cause of the injuries he dealth during the year. He is able to make a +30 even against Dallas , but i am just stating the facts out. All of this could mean more points for Bryants team mates , and Gasol / Bynum did very well this year against Dallas , showing us that the slow-medium pace,strong defense & playoff intensity is good to their game.
Jetzt were ich ein intuition pick posten deswegen kleiner stake:
R.Allen over 15,5 @ 1,85
Nordicbet , 2/10
We have much reasons in tonights NBA derby SAS – Boston why each team should win. First lets talk about the „injuries“ at SAS. First of all Parker and Mcdyess didnt play last match just cause of percosion , no serious or any injury is there . About Ginobili and Duncan , both od them trained , despite listing them as doubtful this could be easily some of Popovich mind tricks , first reports say that both will play tonight , but at least i expekt one fo them. How Boston is playing atm i think it doesnt make much difference if they bott dont play cause i have the feeling they would be able to lose against Washington and win against the LAL at the same time. Something like Milwaukee. Lets get to Allen .... Allen is not in form , lost some of is confidence , not much of rational reasons to support this pick exept of my intuion. Boston is in bad form , for that i see mostly 2 reasons. First is that Rondo is slightly out of form and has injury problems which are now more or less ok , he starts to make more shooting attempts than for assisting , this for a PG of his abbilties is suicide , he is with Nash the most creative PG in the league , but has a very bad FG% and should focus on assisting , it is not all his fault , much players on the team are tired and not well motivated so the whole team isnt moving fast as they should as if they would do that would creat some space for Rondo to trough the ball. The second reason is the aquistion of Green and Krstić. I am not saying this was a bad trade , not at all. Using N.Robinson as a backup PG when you also have D.West is just wasteful , and Perkins is a great defensive player but Boston also has the two Oneals and now Krstic. Krstic is without confidence atm , in both directions and still needs to find out the Boston way of game to incorporate imself in the playoffs in the real celtics team play. Same goes for J.Green who is a very talented guy. Both of them need time , and i hope they will improve until the start of the playoff. Boston can win this if Rondo goes back to his old rutine and that is assisting. Simple as that , he isnt doeing it lately as he can . I remember him at 1 stage of the season havin +14 assists average what was incredible. Cause of the importance of this game , maybe for Boston just morale importance , i see him doeing just that , also if Duncan recoveres , Garnett will have his hands full with him , they both are classic NBA legends and no all about each other and i doubt that any of them will have a +20 night if they will guard each other. That leaves us Pierce , Krstic and Allen of the first 5. Allen is taking 3 attempts less this month than he was last month , Pierce is the main weapon all of this month , but ths needs to change sometimes. SAS is not a classic team and despite their results is not in the top 2-3 NBA title candidates , they will probably be regular season NR.1 , but they arent ablt to play strong defense as Boston , Chicago a, Dallas and LAL are. They are something that Orlando was before , but without the Howard element , that is 1 factor why they are so much better than the Magic. They have a very fast ball rotation in the offense , not such quick transition as the ball rotations goes , offense is realy high tempo for them and they are very very very dangerous from 3 point line , at least 4-5 players are able to score 4-5 or more threes per night. And it is obvious that without the nonsence trade Orlando did this year they arent able to do that anymore. M.Bonner , Ginobili , Parker , G.Hill , Jefferson ...al players which are very dangerous in this concept whey of playing. But despite creative and extremly homogen offense this still doesnt mean that the defense is on the level. Dont get me wrong defense is good , but it is not hardcore on street fighting level. That kind of defense is Bostons expertise. This all and the fast whey of playing with a lot of running around for finding a free place for a shoot could do better to Allen than to Pierce who is i believe better when the game is slow-medium tempo . Also dont be surprised if some players like West , Krstic , Green jumps into the spot light cause SAS is just that kind of team against they would be able to do that. That are more less the reasons for Allen.
Now more to the SAS – Boston game.
Yes SAS needs to defend NR.1 against the Lakerse , and Boston started to play more easyer waiting for the playoffs , but Boston gets a big motive in such games , so motivation is not a dominant factor here but is slighlty on the side of SAS. J.Oneal will play tonight and if he is at his average level this will be an enormous boust for the Celtics ( he didnt play over 2 months ) cause it will take a bourden of G.Davis shoulder who was rotated from PF and C game by game. Big Baby does a good job on both positions , but Krstic is realy scared atm and needs more games as a Celtic to get into rhytm . With Oneal on his level both of them would have to deal with less pressure which specially affects krstic , but the question is how is Oneals fitness. Without Shaq this defense by Boston is suffering a lot , especially by penetrations into the paint. Boston is not convincing last games , but this surely doesnt mean much cause Boston can take it up to the enxt level any moment of the game. I mentioend already Rondo will get more serious tonight , Allen will have space , Pierce should to well , KG also ..but exactly the C deficit is the biggest concern for me here , the whole Boston concept of playing is conected with it , the big four can play without the Center spot the best defense in the league , but today they will face a very offensivly dangerous opponent . SAS showed against Portland the lenght of their bench , in match where Parker , Ginboili , Duncan and Mcdyess did not play. This match still some question marks mostly cause of SAS-s doubts about Ginobili and Duncan , but all goes in SAS direction in my eyes. Boston defense against SAS offense , and important factor is the black holes in Bostons game they are starting to have in some periods of games when they just disapear. SAS will punish that no doubt. Boston has atm not their both defense and offense at the right level so i take SAS here and hope both Ginobili and Duncan are going to make it.
San Antonio ML @ 2,01 4/10
pinnacle
Later if time i write some about LAL – Dallas match...
last time edited : 19:23 wegen odds raise
