is doch eh egal, da er schon seit 13:00Uhr spielt und somit alle Diskussion jetzt überflüssig ist !
Herby Tennisecke 2007 ff
- Ersteller herby
- Erstellt am
Flo schrieb:
und da brauchst du jetzt ne hand, die dir erzählt auf wen du live setzen sollst , weil du dir kein eigenes bild bilden kannst wenn dus schaust ?
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early day 3 picks
i found 4 dogs that are either much too high or no dogs at all. Still some bookie odds are missing but i doubt those will go much higher.
BURGSMÜLLER 2.75 - Berdych 400 EH EXP
The best bet. It is far beyond me how such odds can be made. Burgs is in nice form only losing tight in 3 sets last week semis to Llodra, a far better grass courter than Berdych who won nothing on grass before but in tight sets against Dupuis in round 1, a player who is 1 class below Burgsmüller this year on grass. I see Burgsi as slight favorit so medium/big bet has to be taken here at those odds !
MAYER 2.1 - Verdasco EXP 300 EH
Mayer was in the quarters in Wimbledon last year. Verdasco has beaten Robredo in round 1, nothing special. He is a clay courter and Mayers best surface is grass. So wrong favorit here too.
BJÖRKMAN 2.1 - Davydenko EXP 300 EH
Same here. Björkman with nice results on grass in singles and doubles and in ok form. Davydenko before his 1st round win against almost retired old Draper has lost 7 (!) matches on grass.
RUSEDSKI 2.2 - Johanson LAD 250 EH This is 50:50. Rusedski is the better grass courter of the 2. Still Johanson with good serve and nice wins on hard but he doesnt like grass that much. Open match.
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early day 3 picks
i found 4 dogs that are either much too high or no dogs at all. Still some bookie odds are missing but i doubt those will go much higher.
BURGSMÜLLER 2.75 - Berdych 400 EH EXP
The best bet. It is far beyond me how such odds can be made. Burgs is in nice form only losing tight in 3 sets last week semis to Llodra, a far better grass courter than Berdych who won nothing on grass before but in tight sets against Dupuis in round 1, a player who is 1 class below Burgsmüller this year on grass. I see Burgsi as slight favorit so medium/big bet has to be taken here at those odds !
MAYER 2.1 - Verdasco EXP 300 EH
Mayer was in the quarters in Wimbledon last year. Verdasco has beaten Robredo in round 1, nothing special. He is a clay courter and Mayers best surface is grass. So wrong favorit here too.
BJÖRKMAN 2.1 - Davydenko EXP 300 EH
Same here. Björkman with nice results on grass in singles and doubles and in ok form. Davydenko before his 1st round win against almost retired old Draper has lost 7 (!) matches on grass.
RUSEDSKI 2.2 - Johanson LAD 250 EH This is 50:50. Rusedski is the better grass courter of the 2. Still Johanson with good serve and nice wins on hard but he doesnt like grass that much. Open match.
Des Herbal tippt ma scho wieder alles nach, jetzt wirds schön langsam auffällig...dafür lassta aber sicherheitshalber die EH-Angabe weg. :mrgreen:
Freitagstipps
Freitagstipps
SAFIN - Lopez +
ANCIC - Monfils +
FEDERER - Kiefer 1.55 UNI 500 EH
Safin is the better grass courter as he proved this last week in losing only in the final tight to Federer and trashing Philipoussis 3:0 the other day. Lopez needed 5 sets against german Phau (!) and should lose this.
Ancic is the young rising star at the grass courts winning Nottingham tournament last week. Monfils has no results only winning non grass courter Hrbaty last round doesnt prove he can go far here.
Federer banker.
MAYER - Ferrero +
HEWITT - Gimelstob 2.34 LAD 200 EH
Going for Mayer again but with smaller stakes because Ferrero is sure better than Verdasco on grass. Still i think about equal chances for both so price is too high here (2.25) at Ladbrokes.
Freitagstipps
SAFIN - Lopez +
ANCIC - Monfils +
FEDERER - Kiefer 1.55 UNI 500 EH
Safin is the better grass courter as he proved this last week in losing only in the final tight to Federer and trashing Philipoussis 3:0 the other day. Lopez needed 5 sets against german Phau (!) and should lose this.
Ancic is the young rising star at the grass courts winning Nottingham tournament last week. Monfils has no results only winning non grass courter Hrbaty last round doesnt prove he can go far here.
Federer banker.
MAYER - Ferrero +
HEWITT - Gimelstob 2.34 LAD 200 EH
Going for Mayer again but with smaller stakes because Ferrero is sure better than Verdasco on grass. Still i think about equal chances for both so price is too high here (2.25) at Ladbrokes.
samstach
samstach
nice card with many interesting games today. here are the bets:
MIRNYI - Novak +
GASQUET - Muller ) 1.75 EXP 500 EH
Mirnyi without dropping a set here, splendid grass form this year and has beaten Novak on hard 2 times. Novaks worst surface is grass. Gasquet winning a grass tournament last week should easily pass Muller who´s only goodie was a win over Nadal last round.
POPP - Tursunov +
GROSJEAN - Djokovic ) 2.04 NB 300 EH
Djokovic won in tight 5 sets against clay courter Garcia last round. He is still 1 class below Grosjean on grass who reached the semis in Wimbledon in both years and should also beat the young opponent here.
MELZER 2.48 - Coria PIN 200 EH
Cant let this odds go without a bet. Melzer done splendid here without dropping a set so far. Coria got beyond Malisse in 5 tight sets last round and Melzer is not weaker. Odds are wrong, this is 50:50.
samstach
nice card with many interesting games today. here are the bets:
MIRNYI - Novak +
GASQUET - Muller ) 1.75 EXP 500 EH
Mirnyi without dropping a set here, splendid grass form this year and has beaten Novak on hard 2 times. Novaks worst surface is grass. Gasquet winning a grass tournament last week should easily pass Muller who´s only goodie was a win over Nadal last round.
POPP - Tursunov +
GROSJEAN - Djokovic ) 2.04 NB 300 EH
Djokovic won in tight 5 sets against clay courter Garcia last round. He is still 1 class below Grosjean on grass who reached the semis in Wimbledon in both years and should also beat the young opponent here.
MELZER 2.48 - Coria PIN 200 EH
Cant let this odds go without a bet. Melzer done splendid here without dropping a set so far. Coria got beyond Malisse in 5 tight sets last round and Melzer is not weaker. Odds are wrong, this is 50:50.
Kopf hoch Herby, 1 Woche ham ma noch. [[yo]]
Machs vielleicht so wie ich heute. Such dir nen Favo aus und hau was drauf wie ich heut bei Nalbandian. Hatte zwar nen klareren Sieg erwartet, aber Sieg is Sieg und Gewinn is Gewinn. [[winkewinke]]
Bin jedenfalls jetzt wieder im Plus und bei dir wirds auch eins, dafür kenn ich deine Qualitäten mittlerweile zu gut. [[grin]]
Also hopp hopp und auf zum Gewinn [[yo]]
Machs vielleicht so wie ich heute. Such dir nen Favo aus und hau was drauf wie ich heut bei Nalbandian. Hatte zwar nen klareren Sieg erwartet, aber Sieg is Sieg und Gewinn is Gewinn. [[winkewinke]]
Bin jedenfalls jetzt wieder im Plus und bei dir wirds auch eins, dafür kenn ich deine Qualitäten mittlerweile zu gut. [[grin]]
Also hopp hopp und auf zum Gewinn [[yo]]
8telfinale
8telfinale
GASQUET - Nalbandian +
RODDICK - Coria ) 1.75 IW,5DIMES 500 EH
Gasquet won last weeks grass tournament and hasnt dropped a set in week1 here. Nalby had most troubles to get past average Murray in 5 sets. Also his grass results are worse this year.
Roddick 4:0 H2H, 17:1 on grass since 2004. Coria 2 lucky 5-setters so far. Banker.
MIRNYI 2.55 - Johansson UNI,PIN 300 EH
Ok, H2H is disastrous 0:4 which brought the bookies to these odds. But only 1 of the encounters was on grass and that went the distance. All is forgettable as Mirnyi was really bad on grass in latest years. But this year is different, he is in nice form, final last week against Gasquet and all in all the better grass results than his opponent Johansson. As its at least a 50:50 those wrong odds have to be taken here.
8telfinale
GASQUET - Nalbandian +
RODDICK - Coria ) 1.75 IW,5DIMES 500 EH
Gasquet won last weeks grass tournament and hasnt dropped a set in week1 here. Nalby had most troubles to get past average Murray in 5 sets. Also his grass results are worse this year.
Roddick 4:0 H2H, 17:1 on grass since 2004. Coria 2 lucky 5-setters so far. Banker.
MIRNYI 2.55 - Johansson UNI,PIN 300 EH
Ok, H2H is disastrous 0:4 which brought the bookies to these odds. But only 1 of the encounters was on grass and that went the distance. All is forgettable as Mirnyi was really bad on grass in latest years. But this year is different, he is in nice form, final last week against Gasquet and all in all the better grass results than his opponent Johansson. As its at least a 50:50 those wrong odds have to be taken here.
Re: 8telfinale
Re: 8telfinale
Mirnyi hab ich vorhin auch noch gespielt. Wenn ich aber seh, dass du den Gasguet gespielt hast, dann dreht sich bei mir wieder der Magen.
Nalbandian spielt gegen Gurken wie Murray oft schlecht und steigert sich aber dann um etliche Prozentpunkte gegen stärkere Gegner.
Ich würd mal sagen, dass du hoffen musst, dass es spätestens nach 4 Sätzen erledigt ist, weil bei 5-Satzmatch würd ich auf Nalbandian tippen, weil der ein unaufhörlicher Kämpfer ist.
Falls die Quote morgen noch steigen sollte, dann überleg ich mir, ob ich net auf Nalbandian ne Kleinigkeit setzen soll, weil mehr wie 65% geb ich Gasguet net.
Re: 8telfinale
herby schrieb:
Mirnyi hab ich vorhin auch noch gespielt. Wenn ich aber seh, dass du den Gasguet gespielt hast, dann dreht sich bei mir wieder der Magen.
Nalbandian spielt gegen Gurken wie Murray oft schlecht und steigert sich aber dann um etliche Prozentpunkte gegen stärkere Gegner.
Ich würd mal sagen, dass du hoffen musst, dass es spätestens nach 4 Sätzen erledigt ist, weil bei 5-Satzmatch würd ich auf Nalbandian tippen, weil der ein unaufhörlicher Kämpfer ist.
Falls die Quote morgen noch steigen sollte, dann überleg ich mir, ob ich net auf Nalbandian ne Kleinigkeit setzen soll, weil mehr wie 65% geb ich Gasguet net.
Bin bei den Wetten Herby's Meinung.
Gasquet/Roddick gibt's bei Nordic für 1.79, und UNI hat Max jetzt sogar für 2.60.
Habe bei UNI noch ein Double gespielt:
Hewitt - Dent >38.5 1.85
Grosjean - T. >33.5 1.73
Bei beiden Matches sollte es genügen, wenn mindestens 4 Sätze gespielt werden, und bei Hewitt erwarte auf jeden Fall, dass Dent gut mithält. Tursunov sollte Grosjean auch länger beschäftigen können, wobei bei 33.5 auch ein knapper 3-Satz-Sieg reichen kann (7-6 7-5 6-3 oder so).
Gasquet/Roddick gibt's bei Nordic für 1.79, und UNI hat Max jetzt sogar für 2.60.
Habe bei UNI noch ein Double gespielt:
Hewitt - Dent >38.5 1.85
Grosjean - T. >33.5 1.73
Bei beiden Matches sollte es genügen, wenn mindestens 4 Sätze gespielt werden, und bei Hewitt erwarte auf jeden Fall, dass Dent gut mithält. Tursunov sollte Grosjean auch länger beschäftigen können, wobei bei 33.5 auch ein knapper 3-Satz-Sieg reichen kann (7-6 7-5 6-3 oder so).
cover bet
cover bet
Gasquet lost. Cover bet (Grosjean starts at 16.30 CET, others later).
GROSJEAN - Tursunov +
FEDERER - Ferrero +
RO D D I C K 1.47 CB 800 EH
Grosjean has beaten better opponents in this tournament than Tursunov and he is the clear better grass player, ARod and Federer are bankers.
cover bet
Gasquet lost. Cover bet (Grosjean starts at 16.30 CET, others later).
GROSJEAN - Tursunov +
FEDERER - Ferrero +
RO D D I C K 1.47 CB 800 EH
Grosjean has beaten better opponents in this tournament than Tursunov and he is the clear better grass player, ARod and Federer are bankers.
