New York - Houston
pick : New York -3,5
odds : 2,00
bookie : bet365
stake : 5
Lets continue with the NBA lottery , because i cant see any other adjective to describe it . Now with different approach. Because until playoff i will have to change my way of playing NBA picks , realising that quality is not the main paramter here because of many games played day from day, i will look on picks from diffeent angle.
NYK disappointed very much against poor Minnesota , main problem for the Knicks where that they didnt have a solid center defending. Mozgov is out of the role there , and probably doesnt deserve to play in the NBA , they were experimenting with Stoudamire and Chandler ( who started in first 5 because of that ) at this position but that arent their position and they neither have the height and the weight to play it. Thats also the biggest reason why Minnesota outrebounded them , allowing K.Love achieving 31 rebound is simply ridiculous. I hope Turiaf will recovere until the start of the match which should mean much for Knicks defense.
I wrote already about Felton , Stoudamire , Fields , Douglas , Chandler ...not neccesary to repeat myself.
Houston:
Yao Miing status is uncertain , he was ruled 1 week out at 11,11,2010 ; but this things change rapdily. In his absence B.Miller will start today , who is a good center with soft hane for a player on his position , but out of his best years , still good for making an effort ( last match : 23p,5a,8r). Main danger from the Rockets is under the basket from L.Scola , on the position where the Knicks ar the weakest. Scola will probably be guarded by Stoudamire what is good thing , Scola is stronger than Amare , but Amare much quicker and can get him into foul trouble.* ( also a big reason for Minnesota win against the Knicks is that Amare got 4 PF 22 minutes before the end of the game , and than Love exploded with 15 rebounds in the 3/4 when Amare wasnt playing most of the time ).
Other player who deserves to be mentioned is K.Martin , dangerous shooter from outside , not strong and with strong penetrations but with soft hand. From reserves we can expekt something from Lowry , Lee and Budinger.
Facts :
NYK play with much oscilations, Rockets are stronger in the paint. But if Amare doesnt get into foul trouble he will probably be able to stop Scola , but also Amare will need support from his team mates. If all this paramters with Y.Ming not playing are accomplished i see the Knicks winning. Also maybe the biggest reason , which in reality is not a reason but is in NBA
is that NYK lost 4 in a row , this doesnt mean anything , but if you play in NBA and have every day a game you dont take them so serious , due to the Rockets 2 wins in last 3 games , i see more motivation for the Knicks , a reason about we could talk about , but in such conditions i will take it , in NBA playoff i wold never.
