NBA 18.03-25.03

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Hosila

Hosila

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#1
Clippers vs Hornets 17.Mar

As strange as it may sound, getting Blake Griffin back might actually hurt the Clippers short term. They were doing fine without Griffin and actually looked occasionally even better with their new fast pace offense. Now they have lost 2 games in a row (last one with Griffin playing). There`s no doubt that the Clippers want and need Griffin back in their lineup, but until the team adjust again to a new/old style of playing with him, they are likely to have couple of bad games.

It does not help that Matt Barnes is suffering an injury and is questionable to play. Already without Jamal Crawford, it possibly takes one additional shooter away from their lineup. Now this hot and crazy shooting is what the Clippers have done during last couple of weeks. It will change now, while Griffin demands offensive possessions, the tempo of the game will slow down a bit and its not likely too good.

The Hornets are fighting for their play-off hopes and will give everything they got each and every game. They lost last night to Jazz, but the good news is that it was a old fashion blowout, so the starters were pulled out of the game very early and no player played more than 25 minutes for the Hornets. It has not been too bad for the Hornets recently as they have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The Clippers will enter this game as favorites, but with Griffin just coming back they will not be as dominant as the lines suggest. The Hornets are in a desperate mode and will fight to win this game, while the Clippers are in no danger of falling out of the play-off position. It might not be enough for the Hornets to win this game, but we thing they will cover the spread. Take Charlotte +10.5 points @1.952 from Pinnacle with 3/5 units.

Read more from my webpage!

GL
 
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#2
New York Knicks - San Antonio Spurs
18.03. 00:30 Uhr

Heut Nacht gehts für die nix, ehm Knicks , gegen die Spurs ran. Sollte kein Geheimnis sein, dass die Knicks nicht wirklich stark sind. Die letzten 5 Heimspiele erzielten sie 86,86,103,83 und 87 Punkte also im Schnitt deutlich unter 90. Dazu fällt evtl noch Hardaway Jr. aus. Sollte für die eh schon schwachen Knicks nochmal nen Rückschlag sein.

Zu Gast heute die Spurs mit ihrer TOP Defensive. Ich denke ich muss hier nicht großartig viel schreiben. Sollte jedem bekannt sein, dass die Spurs eine der besten Defense der Liga haben , und die Knicks Offensiv ganz weit unten (29 oder so?) an zutreffen sind.


Ich gehe hier von einem eher scoring armen Spiel aus und sehe die Knicks nicht über 90pkt kommen. Vielleicht 85.

New York Knicks Under 92.5 @1.85 4/10 tipico
 
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#3
Golden State Warriors - Atlanta Hawks

Meine 1. Empfehlung in diesem Forum; GSW spielen ohne den verletzten Klay Thompson der zwar spielen könnte aber für die Play-Offs komplett genesen soll. Der andere "Splash-Brother", Stephen Curry zuletzt nicht mehr mit der ganz überragenden Ausbeute.
Bei den Hawks wurden die Protagonisten zuletzt vereinzelt geschont, dennoch gewannen die Hawks, da sie eine homogene Einheit darstellen und weniger auf 1-2 Spieler ihrer Starting-Five angewiesen sind als es die Warriors mMn auf Curry und Thompson.
Die Auswärtsbilanz der Hawks: 5 der letzten 10 Spiele verloren, vornehmlich aber gegen Teams die noch um Play-Off-Platz 8 kämpfen sowie gegen die wiedererstarkten Nuggets, gegen die allerdings auch die Warriors Federn lassen mussten.
Die Heimbilanz der Warriors: die letzten 9 Spiele gewonnen, die vom Papier her stärksten Gegner waren die Spurs (vergleichsweise mit den Vorjahren nicht ihre beste Saison), Dallas (chancenlos gegen die meisten Teams mit besserer Bilanz) und die Clippers.
Zuvor in der OT gegen die Bulls verloren.

Ich gehe hier dennoch mit den Hawks da ich den Ausfall von Thompson für gravierend halte.

@ 2,90 3/10 (Tipico)
@ 1,85 bei Spread +5,5 für die Hawks 6/10 (Tipico)
 
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#5
Cavaliers vs Nets 18.Mar

Second time Lebron James lost in Miami this season. Coming from a few impressive wins in a row, the Cavaliers had a really slow start and never recovered against the Heat. Kevin Love was getting his rest, but he should be playing tonight. There can`t be a better motivator for Lebron and his teammates than to lose a nationally broadcasted game. It has proven to be the case many times this season – if the Cavaliers are rested and healthy and if they are motivated, they are tough team to beat.

Especially for a below average team such is the Nets. Like we predicted desire to win against the shorthanded Timberwolves was enough, but the Nets didn`t impress anyone in that game. Their defense was way below any reasonable standards and although they did score a lot of points, it was mainly due to Minnesota`s lackluster performance at the defensive end. Against the Cavaliers the Nets will not have any favorable match-ups.

Just an ocean between these teams. The Cavs will be motivated to have a great game in front of their home fans. They have been running away with games against much better opponents than the Nets. We expect this game to be a one way traffic from first to last minute. Take Cavaliers to cover -11.5 points @1.909 from Pinnacle with 3/5 units.

Read CHI-IND prediction from my webpage!

GL
 
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#6
roxxas schrieb:
New York Knicks - San Antonio Spurs
18.03. 00:30 Uhr

Heut Nacht gehts für die nix, ehm Knicks , gegen die Spurs ran. Sollte kein Geheimnis sein, dass die Knicks nicht wirklich stark sind. Die letzten 5 Heimspiele erzielten sie 86,86,103,83 und 87 Punkte also im Schnitt deutlich unter 90. Dazu fällt evtl noch Hardaway Jr. aus. Sollte für die eh schon schwachen Knicks nochmal nen Rückschlag sein.

Zu Gast heute die Spurs mit ihrer TOP Defensive. Ich denke ich muss hier nicht großartig viel schreiben. Sollte jedem bekannt sein, dass die Spurs eine der besten Defense der Liga haben , und die Knicks Offensiv ganz weit unten (29 oder so?) an zutreffen sind.


Ich gehe hier von einem eher scoring armen Spiel aus und sehe die Knicks nicht über 90pkt kommen. Vielleicht 85.

New York Knicks Under 92.5 @1.85 4/10 tipico
Zum Vergrößern anklicken....

Knicks gewinnen sogar gg spurs. Sorry -4
 
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#7
Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Clippers

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Clippers

Ich halt mich kurz, hab grade eben die News gelesen, dass DeMarcus Cousins fraglich ist für das Spiel heute Nacht. Falls er ausfallen würde wäre das natürlich sehr herb für die Kings. Außerdem fehlt auch Rudy Gay.

Bei den Clippers sind Matt Barnes und Jamal Crawford, letzterer wird ja für mehrere Spiele ausfallen. Allerdings ist Blake Griffin wieder zurück.

Sofern Griffin hier gut ins spiel integriert werden kann und die Clippers nicht irgend nen Quatsch machen, sehe ich nicht wie die Kings hier gegenhalten könnten. Mit Cousins würde ihr mit Abstand wichtigster Spieler und Leader fehlen. Da macht es mir auch nicht so viel aus, dass LA back-to-back spielt.
Kings zuhause 13-20
LAC auswärts 18-15

LA Clippers -8 @ 1,98 bei Pinnacle
 
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#8
HarlyCharper schrieb:
Golden State Warriors - Atlanta Hawks

Meine 1. Empfehlung in diesem Forum; GSW spielen ohne den verletzten Klay Thompson der zwar spielen könnte aber für die Play-Offs komplett genesen soll. Der andere "Splash-Brother", Stephen Curry zuletzt nicht mehr mit der ganz überragenden Ausbeute.
Bei den Hawks wurden die Protagonisten zuletzt vereinzelt geschont, dennoch gewannen die Hawks, da sie eine homogene Einheit darstellen und weniger auf 1-2 Spieler ihrer Starting-Five angewiesen sind als es die Warriors mMn auf Curry und Thompson.
Die Auswärtsbilanz der Hawks: 5 der letzten 10 Spiele verloren, vornehmlich aber gegen Teams die noch um Play-Off-Platz 8 kämpfen sowie gegen die wiedererstarkten Nuggets, gegen die allerdings auch die Warriors Federn lassen mussten.
Die Heimbilanz der Warriors: die letzten 9 Spiele gewonnen, die vom Papier her stärksten Gegner waren die Spurs (vergleichsweise mit den Vorjahren nicht ihre beste Saison), Dallas (chancenlos gegen die meisten Teams mit besserer Bilanz) und die Clippers.
Zuvor in der OT gegen die Bulls verloren.

Ich gehe hier dennoch mit den Hawks da ich den Ausfall von Thompson für gravierend halte.

@ 2,90 3/10 (Tipico)
@ 1,85 bei Spread +5,5 für die Hawks 6/10 (Tipico)
Zum Vergrößern anklicken....

Wenn du schon fast nur auf die Injuries abstellst, solltest du nicht vergessen zu erwähnen, dass Korver auch out ist [[yo]]
 
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#9
bouba1978 schrieb:
Wenn du schon fast nur auf die Injuries abstellst, solltest du nicht vergessen zu erwähnen, dass Korver auch out ist [[yo]]
Zum Vergrößern anklicken....

Das ist zwar richtig, fällt für MICH aber nicht ins Gewicht da für mich wie erwähnt das Teamplay der Hawks den Ausschlag geben wird,wo jeder einzelne der StartingFive mehr oder weniger 1:1 ersetzt werden kann und dagegen mit Curry nur 1 "Superstar" gegensteht.
Wir werden sehen ob ich daneben liege. 😏
 
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#10
DieAmigosRocken schrieb:
Ich halt mich kurz, hab grade eben die News gelesen, dass DeMarcus Cousins fraglich ist für das Spiel heute Nacht. Falls er ausfallen würde wäre das natürlich sehr herb für die Kings. Außerdem fehlt auch Rudy Gay.

Bei den Clippers sind Matt Barnes und Jamal Crawford, letzterer wird ja für mehrere Spiele ausfallen. Allerdings ist Blake Griffin wieder zurück.

Sofern Griffin hier gut ins spiel integriert werden kann und die Clippers nicht irgend nen Quatsch machen, sehe ich nicht wie die Kings hier gegenhalten könnten. Mit Cousins würde ihr mit Abstand wichtigster Spieler und Leader fehlen. Da macht es mir auch nicht so viel aus, dass LA back-to-back spielt.
Kings zuhause 13-20
LAC auswärts 18-15

LA Clippers -8 @ 1,98 bei Pinnacle
Zum Vergrößern anklicken....


R. Gay hat doch gespielt und auch ordentlich gescored. Ohne Cousins hat es aber dennoch nicht gereicht den Clippers das Wasser zu reichen :)
Edit: Ohne Cousins sind die Kings diese Saison 2-13

+ 6,4 EH
 
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#12
Nets vs Bucks 20.Mar

The Bucks have been sliding a bit recently, but their 4 game losing streak has been caused by a tough schedule. Away games against the Pacers, Grizzlies and Pelicans were somewhat expected losses as was a home game against the Spurs. The Bucks a nevertheless 34-34, hold a 6<sup>th</sup> seed in the Eastern Conference and will make it to the play-offs. The key for the Bucks success has been the fact that they have won most of their games against weaker opponents and this is something they have to continue doing until the end of the regular season.

The Nets are 27-39 and are able to win games they should, but do not usually succeed against teams with a play-off level quality (or close to it). Recent games are perfect example here as the Nets have won games against the 76ers and Timberwolves, but lost to CLE, MIA, NOP, UTA and PHX.

Milwaukee has won 2 games against the Nets this season. They may not have individual quality as much as the Nets, but they function a lot better as a team. Recent losses due to a tough schedule has made the bookies to consider the Bucks as underdogs for this game, but we think the trend of them doing a good job against losing teams will continue. We see the Bucks as slight favorites, but are happy to take the points. Take the Bucks to cover +3 points @1.952 from Pinnacle with 3/5 units.

Read LAC-WAS prediction from my webpage!

GL
 
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#14
Pacers vs Nets 21.Mar

Both teams played last night, so it is a back-to-back situation for both sides. Difference of course is that the Nets had to play 3 OT periods meaning 15 extra minutes to win the game against the Bucks. The Nets are probably one of the teams that suffers the most from extra minutes played and they have been bad in back-to-back situations anyway (4-10 this season). Reason is the age of their key players and nagging injuries that makes it tougher to play 2<sup>nd</sup> night in a row.

Indiana has lost 4 games in a row, but have met 3 top teams in the Eastern Conference (TOR, CHI, CLE). They made it a fight against the Cavaliers last night, kept the game close, but lost it after failing to score during the last 2 minutes of the game. So although losing the game the Pacers performance was reasonably good. The Nets won the game, but they played an awful game really. Their defense was non-existent as the Bucks at times scored like it was a pregame layup drill. With the Bucks key players fouling out during the overtime and Milwaukee just being unable to make outside shots, the Nets got a win they did not deserve. It will be different with the Pacers though as Indiana has all players being able to shoot with a reasonable efficiency.

If the Nets play at the defensive end like they did last night – the Pacers will murder them. It is possible they do, as extra 15 minutes and back-to-back situation will weigh heavy on their shoulders. Could easily turn out to be a „lets take a day off“ game for the Nets. This bet though feels a bit too obvious and obvious thing in NBA often do not happen. We believe this is not the case here, but will limit our stakes. Take Indiana to cover -7.5 points @1.970 from Pinnacle with 2/5 units.

Read Pistons vs Bulls predictions from my website!

GL
 
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#16
Lakers vs 76ers 22.Mar

This game would be huge if the goal of every NBA team would be to lose as much games as possible. Two bad teams that just not have talent (for different reasons) to compete at a reasonable level. So both teams are playing their young players a lot of minutes and hope to bounce back in upcoming seasons.

Lack of talent especially shows at the offensive end, where in many possessions nothing is happening and the end result is a difficult jump shot at the end of the shot-clock. The 76ers are offensively dead last in the league with an average just 91.1 points per game, while the Lakers are 19th with 98.6 ppg. Not surprisingly the Lakers are 22nd in offensive efficiency, while the 76ers by far are the worst. Young players usually try at the defensive end. The Lakers were known as a the worst defensive team at the beginning of the season (when they still had an offense to match the defensive awfulness), but it has changed in recent months, when their pace has slowed down and effort at the defensive end has been more in focus.

Both teams are bad offensively, both teams have young players getting heavy minutes, both teams try defensively. It will be an ugly game to watch with both teams likely staying below 100 points. Take under 192.5 points @1.952 from Pinnacle with 2/5 units.

Read ATL-SAS and SAC-WAS predictions from my website!

GL
 
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#18
Jazz vs Timberwolves 23.Mar

It is true that after the All-Stars break the Jazz have played much better than they did first 2/3 of the season. But they are still a 31-38 team, with young roster and no real expectations from this season other than develop players. The key for their success has been a great defense, but of course offensively they are far from being excellent. Or to be exact, they are 28<sup>th</sup> in the league with 94.7 points per game (MIN is 22nd). As sudden as good runs start for an average (and below the average) team, they can also end. The Jazz lost their last game against the Warriors by 15 points, so it is not like they are peaking at the moment.

The Timberwolves are losing more than winning recently, but we still like how they fight in each game. With many injuries they are playing with young players who want to show the coach that they deserve more playing time in the future. Even yesterday they had a 5-point lead against the Charlotte at halftime, even if they lost it at the end. Players like Andrew Wiggins, Zach LaVine and Kevin Martin can put up huge numbers offensively in any given night. Even against a good defensive team like the Jazz.

Anything can happen when young players meet young players and team with no expectations meets team with no expectations. Sure, the Jazz will enter this game as favorites, but the odds are ridiculous. We see clear value on Minnesota to pull out a surprise. Stakes of course should be low. Take Minnesota to win @8.60 from Pinnacle with 1/5 units.

Read IND-HOU prediction from my website!

GL
 
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#19
Hosila schrieb:
Jazz vs Timberwolves 23.Mar

Anything can happen when young players meet young players and team with no expectations meets team with no expectations. Sure, the Jazz will enter this game as favorites, but the odds are ridiculous. We see clear value on Minnesota to pull out a surprise. Stakes of course should be low. Take Minnesota to win @8.60 from Pinnacle with 1/5 units.

GL
Zum Vergrößern anklicken....

Jazz 104
Timberwolves 106

+7.60 units
 
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#20
Wizards vs Pacers 25.Mar

Both teams have hit the brick-wall offensively, struggled to score points and are having mini losing streaks. It could not have come at the worst time for the Pacers as they have now dropped out from a play-off spot after losing 6 games in a row. Calf injury to Rodney Stuckey that sidelined him for last game hurts the Pacers offense as they become more of a jump-shot happy team, while also wasting more time at the offensive end looking for a good shot. It clearly showed in a game against the Rockets 2 nights ago when the Pacers scored 39 points during the first half and managed to score 100 points only because the Rockets having a safe lead stopped caring to play a good defense during the second half. Rodney Stuckey is listed questionable, but he did not practice yesterday and seems to be unlikely to play.

The Wizards offense has been even worse. When against the Jazz they score 88 points it could have been explained by tough defense the Jazz play nowadays, but to score 99 points vs LAC, 86 vs SAC and 76 vs high-tempo GSW can`t be explained by anything other than offensive struggles. With Bradley Beal back in their lineup, the offense should be better, but it also means John Wall having less time with the ball and Beal taking many jump shots. If they do go in, it is a thing of beauty, but it is not really effective way to score points. Washington shooting percentage has been an issue for 3 games in a row and playing against the Pacers solid one-on-one defense will not help the matter here.

Indiana as always expects to win the game by playing a tough defense and try to make it as much of an half-court offense vs half-court offense as possible. You would expect the Wizards try to run, but this is not something they have done well in recent games. When it comes to the half-court offense, the Pacers defense will dominate the Wizards and the Wizards defense is good enough to limit Indiana`s crippled lineup. Take under 193 points @1.952 with 3/5 units from Pinnacle.

Read MEM-CLE and CHA-BKN picks from my website!

GL
 
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