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  • ibra
    Gesperrt
    • 16.06.2009
    • 539
    • 0
    • croatia

    NBA conference finals 23.05 - 24.05

    Boston - Orlando
    pick : Boston under 96.5
    odds : 1,90
    bookie : expekt
    stake : 7

    In 6 matches they played this year , neither team has scored more than 97.5 points in their clash. In playoff defense is on higher level than in regular season , in this series especially. I expect a difficult match for both teams , Boston has good defensive weapons to stop D.Howard ( G.Davis , R.Wallace and Perkins ) , they rarely double him like most teams , so the Orlando has less free space on the 3 pointers what is their main weapon.

    p.s. This pick will be played by my local bookie with 97.5 margine , i do not know if their is any higher margine by online bookies , but if it is let me know

    Boston - Orlando
    pick : Rondo under 16.5
    odds: 2,10
    bookie : bwin
    stake : 7


    Rondo had nice last match against Orlando , but i think i have mentioned before problems which he will have in this series. He has a bad FG% , and that is why he rarely shoots from Middle range , and goes often for layups , but than under the basket is huge D.Howard who makes this very difficult for him with his blocking abbilitys. Rondo surprised a littel bit by shooting some shoots in last game , but i still think FG% will be a deciding factor , because he does not have such a soft hand. Only problem could be if they start fouling him , but his FT% is also not great , or if Orlando will have much turnovers , than in transition Rondo is Bostons main weapon , but i think this a very important match for Orlando and they must focus more and concentrate not to allow such mistakes.

    p.s. this one will also be played with higher margine , at 17.5 , of course by my local bookie But this margine has tendency to be higher , so it is easy possibel that i will change it later , but surely 16.5 is also value for me.

    Zuletzt geändert von ibra; 22.05.2010, 19:14.
  • ibra
    Gesperrt
    • 16.06.2009
    • 539
    • 0
    • croatia

    #2
    Boston - Orlando
    pick : Howard under 13.5 rebounds
    odds: 1,83
    bookie : bet365
    stake : 4

    Boston is definetly not a good rebounding team , but Howard has problems against their defense. Last match had just 8 rebounds , before that 12. In Pierce , Garnett and Allen Boston has players with respectful FG% and FT% , wich should reduce chances of his rebounding , and also Perkins and Wallace are reliabel in the defense , and G.Davis can do also some good. But with Howard you never know , everyone can see that he does not enjoy playing against Boston , they make much fouls on him , so he spends much time on Free throw line , and his FT% is not good . He can not get in rythm this way. But like said before , he is the NBA-s most dominating center since O Neal , so he is able to go over the 13.5 line , but in my opinion value is on under , due the Boston defense and the way they play.

    Kommentar

    • ibra
      Gesperrt
      • 16.06.2009
      • 539
      • 0
      • croatia

      #3
      Zitat von ibra

      Boston - Orlando
      pick : Boston under 96.5
      odds : 1,90
      bookie : expekt
      stake : 7


      Boston - Orlando
      pick : Rondo under 16.5
      odds: 2,10
      bookie : bwin
      stake : 7


      Boston - Orlando
      pick : Howard under 13.5 rebounds
      odds: 1,83
      bookie : bet365
      stake : 4


      Boston score 94 points [[sabber]][[sabber]][[sabber]]

      Rondo scores 11 points [[sabber]][[sabber]][[sabber]][[sabber]]

      Howard had 7 rebounds
      [[sabber]][[sabber]][[sabber]][[sabber]][[sabber]]

      Kommentar

      • ibra
        Gesperrt
        • 16.06.2009
        • 539
        • 0
        • croatia

        #4
        A.Stoudamire over 21.5
        bookie : bwin
        odds: 1,68
        stake : 7


        I saw first game between Suns and Lakerse , and 50 % of all actions went to Stoudamire , Stoudamire is abel to dominate due to his great physic , quickness and great FG% for a PF. Suns have chances to take a win today , and Stoudamire and Nash are Suns main weapons,. Like said before he is not just another strong player who can just dunk , he has also some flair , but how much flair can you have if you play at poistion PF , in my opinion he is a great player , and if Suns want to win he should go over this margine.

        P.Gasol under 21.5
        bookie : bwin
        odds: 1,85
        stake : 7


        When the series started i said that Suns whey of game , is not good for Gasol . He is not quick enough , but first 2 games Lakerse did tarifficly in the offense so that was the key factor for +20 Gasol points in this games. I hope Stoudamire will defend more Gasol , than Lopez , because he does it bether. Lopez is quick as gasol , or even worse , so that gives great chances for short range shoots of Gasol in which he is great. For me the center with the softest hand in the whole NBA. But in this match i expect reduced total points of Gasol , more from Kobe Bryant , and so less gasol

        Kommentar

        • ibra
          Gesperrt
          • 16.06.2009
          • 539
          • 0
          • croatia

          #5
          Zitat von ibra
          A.Stoudamire over 21.5
          bookie : bwin
          odds: 1,68
          stake : 7

          I saw first game between Suns and Lakerse , and 50 % of all actions went to Stoudamire , Stoudamire is abel to dominate due to his great physic , quickness and great FG% for a PF. Suns have chances to take a win today , and Stoudamire and Nash are Suns main weapons,. Like said before he is not just another strong player who can just dunk , he has also some flair , but how much flair can you have if you play at poistion PF , in my opinion he is a great player , and if Suns want to win he should go over this margine.

          P.Gasol under 21.5
          bookie : bwin
          odds: 1,85
          stake : 7

          When the series started i said that Suns whey of game , is not good for Gasol . He is not quick enough , but first 2 games Lakerse did tarifficly in the offense so that was the key factor for +20 Gasol points in this games. I hope Stoudamire will defend more Gasol , than Lopez , because he does it bether. Lopez is quick as gasol , or even worse , so that gives great chances for short range shoots of Gasol in which he is great. For me the center with the softest hand in the whole NBA. But in this match i expect reduced total points of Gasol , more from Kobe Bryant , and so less gasol
          stoudamire 42 points

          Gasol 23 points

          Kommentar

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