@Chris
Das Rice Spiel hatte ich auch erst auf meinem Zettel, aber, zu denken gab mir dann folgendes:
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Before most of the known universe bets Rice and drives the points up to where I actually play on San Jose State, allow me to play devil's advocate for a minute. On the surface it looks like a "too good to be true" line, but in my opinion it is very accurate or a little high. Since I have no play on this game yet, the opinion is unbiased.
Rice is one of the worst defensive teams in the country and not much of a road gem either. I went to conference play to level the field of analysis and found the following.
Rice is 2-6 SU on the conference road and MINUS 11.8 points per game on average. Overall, they have let some of their road games get completely out of hand, like UTEP 105 and Nevada 101.
San Jose St. by comparison is also a lousy home team and the perception of good versus terrible makes Rice look like an easy choice, BUT, SJS is only, on average, minus 10.3 points per game at home in conference play, so they are no worse at home than Rice is on the road.
Long story short - Laying 8 on the road with Rice is a risky proposition regardless of who they are playing and the Spartans must be smarting from the 33 point pounding they took on the road. It's just never as easy as it looks. If it was, you would see the pros pounding on Rice and the line would not be so steady. It's just another game, folks, don't put the mortgage on it.
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...und damit nahm ich dieses Spiel dann wieder raus. Und wahrscheinlich werden sie s dann doch schaffen, wie so oft.
Gruss
dC
Das Rice Spiel hatte ich auch erst auf meinem Zettel, aber, zu denken gab mir dann folgendes:
-----------
Before most of the known universe bets Rice and drives the points up to where I actually play on San Jose State, allow me to play devil's advocate for a minute. On the surface it looks like a "too good to be true" line, but in my opinion it is very accurate or a little high. Since I have no play on this game yet, the opinion is unbiased.
Rice is one of the worst defensive teams in the country and not much of a road gem either. I went to conference play to level the field of analysis and found the following.
Rice is 2-6 SU on the conference road and MINUS 11.8 points per game on average. Overall, they have let some of their road games get completely out of hand, like UTEP 105 and Nevada 101.
San Jose St. by comparison is also a lousy home team and the perception of good versus terrible makes Rice look like an easy choice, BUT, SJS is only, on average, minus 10.3 points per game at home in conference play, so they are no worse at home than Rice is on the road.
Long story short - Laying 8 on the road with Rice is a risky proposition regardless of who they are playing and the Spartans must be smarting from the 33 point pounding they took on the road. It's just never as easy as it looks. If it was, you would see the pros pounding on Rice and the line would not be so steady. It's just another game, folks, don't put the mortgage on it.
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...und damit nahm ich dieses Spiel dann wieder raus. Und wahrscheinlich werden sie s dann doch schaffen, wie so oft.
Gruss
dC
die drei Punkte Mensch!
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