Hallo!
Nachfolgend der Originaltext der Analyse von Alp Fiction. Deutsche Kurzfassung: Morecambe, 1.65 bei BAW, da sie wegen der Playoffregeln weiter voll motiviert sind und gegen das gesicherte Burton antreten.
Dieser Kurs von BAW ist hervorragend und unerreicht. Wer davon Gebrauch machen will, ist eingeladen, sich dort über unsere diversen Banner (Subseiten Deutschland-Ratings, Link-section, Österreich-Ratings) anzumelden. Danke!
Mike
Hi,
its the last round in this league which I am following very closely since a couple of years for betting purposes.
Five teams, from Nuneaton to Woking, are fighting relegation, there are a couple of constellations but overall I couldnt decide a good bet here.
I do not understand BAWs 1.65 on Morecambe vs Burton. These odds can only be explained in the way that the oddsetter thinks its a useless match for Morecambe. But it isnt.
If Morecambe does NOT win, they run the risk of being passed by Doncaster and Chester and end up in 4th position. This is bad. Spot 2 and 3 give you the right to play the SECOND leg at home, an advantage anyway and esp. here, when a draw on aggregated goals leads to a golden goal decision. It goes without any further words that a home strong team like Morecambe will not deliberately throw away this possible advantage.
Burton has nothing to play for.
At the end, we can conclude that a motivated, better and very home strong team plays at home against a team just escaping relegation, and having nothing more to play for, and the odds are 1.65.
Sometimes - esp. after yesterday - I doubt if logic is the best access to betting, but if it is, this is a 6/10 bet for me.
Love and money, Alp
KAIRAT ALMATY - STAR OF THE EAST!
Nachfolgend der Originaltext der Analyse von Alp Fiction. Deutsche Kurzfassung: Morecambe, 1.65 bei BAW, da sie wegen der Playoffregeln weiter voll motiviert sind und gegen das gesicherte Burton antreten.
Dieser Kurs von BAW ist hervorragend und unerreicht. Wer davon Gebrauch machen will, ist eingeladen, sich dort über unsere diversen Banner (Subseiten Deutschland-Ratings, Link-section, Österreich-Ratings) anzumelden. Danke!
Mike
Hi,
its the last round in this league which I am following very closely since a couple of years for betting purposes.
Five teams, from Nuneaton to Woking, are fighting relegation, there are a couple of constellations but overall I couldnt decide a good bet here.
I do not understand BAWs 1.65 on Morecambe vs Burton. These odds can only be explained in the way that the oddsetter thinks its a useless match for Morecambe. But it isnt.
If Morecambe does NOT win, they run the risk of being passed by Doncaster and Chester and end up in 4th position. This is bad. Spot 2 and 3 give you the right to play the SECOND leg at home, an advantage anyway and esp. here, when a draw on aggregated goals leads to a golden goal decision. It goes without any further words that a home strong team like Morecambe will not deliberately throw away this possible advantage.
Burton has nothing to play for.
At the end, we can conclude that a motivated, better and very home strong team plays at home against a team just escaping relegation, and having nothing more to play for, and the odds are 1.65.
Sometimes - esp. after yesterday - I doubt if logic is the best access to betting, but if it is, this is a 6/10 bet for me.
Love and money, Alp
KAIRAT ALMATY - STAR OF THE EAST!
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